ASBM

Chinese Navy: Operational Challenge or Potential Partner?

I urge you all to WATCH THE VIDEO of the USNI/AFCEA West 2013 conference panel: “Chinese Navy: Operational Challenge or Potential Partner?” Particularly, Toshi Yoshihara at 38:20.

Panelists include:

Moderator Dr. David M. Finkelstein
Vice President and Director, China Studies, Center for Naval Analyses

Dr. Jacqueline Deal
President and CEO, Long-Term Strategy Group

CAPT James Fanell, USN
Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence and Information Operations (N-2), U.S. Pacific Fleet

Major Christopher I. Johnson, USMC
Logistics Officer, Marine Barracks Washington, DC; and Foreign Area Officer, People’s Republic of China

Dr. Toshi Yoshihara
Professor and John A. van Beuren Chair of Asia-Pacific Studies Strategy and Policy, Naval War College; Author of Red Star over the Pacific

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China Tests Carrier Killer DF-21D Missile; ‘Sinks’ U.S. Aircraft Carrier

Taiwan-based Want China Times has published suggestive evidence that China has tested its Dong Feng 21D anti-ship ballistic missile (ASBM), also known as the “Carrier Killer” to fans.

This missile will keep the “dog” out of China’s “backyard.”

According to the January 23 article, “PLA ‘sinks’ US carrier in DF-21D missile test in Gobi,” the “People’s Liberation Army has successfully sunk a US aircraft carrier, according to a satellite photo provided by Google Earth, reports our sister paper Want Daily — though the strike was a war game, the carrier a mock-up platform and the ‘sinking’ occurred on dry land in a remote part of western China.”

“A satellite image reveals two large craters on a 200-meter-long white platform in the Gobi desert used to simulate the flight deck of an aircraft carrier. The photo was first posted on SAORBATS, an internet forum based in Argentina. Military analysts believed the craters would have been created by China’s DF-21D anti-ship missile.”

“While claiming that the missile has the capability to hit aircraft carriers 2,000 kilometers away, the nationalistic Chinese tabloid Global Times stated that the weapon was only designed for self-defense; the DF-21D will never pose a serious threat to US national security because it is not even able to reach Hawaii, the newspaper said, though fully aware of the US naval deployment in the Western Pacific.”

“Underlining this point, Global Times took a common line from China’s national defense doctrine before the country acquired an aircraft carrier of its own — namely that carriers are an offensive weapon while anti-ship missiles are defensive. ‘It can be used like a stick to hit the dog intruding on our backyard, but it can never be used to attack the house where the dog comes from,’ the paper’s commentary said.”

What China Wants for Christmas

Artist conception of DF-21D attacking a US naval task force

I’m still waiting for someone to explain to me how the U.S. Navy plans to defend itself against a Chinese multi-layer, multi-directional saturation bombardment from anti-ship cruise missiles (ASCM) and new carrier-killer DF-21D anti-ship ballistic missiles (ASBM).
How many RIM-161 Standard Missile 3s (SM-3) would the U.S. Navy carrier task force need to intercept a massive ASBM attack? Do they have enough SM-3s and Phalanx close-in weapon systems for an attack of, let’s say, 20 ASBMs and 20 ASCMs at the same time? How about 30 a piece?
Seems like a high number to use? Well, China is aiming 1,500 short-range ballistic missiles, DF-11/15s, at Taiwan. Why not build 1,500 DF-21Ds? DF-21s are only a slightly upgraded variant of the DF-15.
Let’s not forget China’s Russian-built SS-N-22 Sunburns ASCMs (3M-80MBE) on four Russian-built Sovremenny-class destroyers. China procured 500 of these missiles from Russia. At Mach 3 with a 320 kg warhead they are my personal favorite ASCM since they avoid the typical trajectory of many anti-ship missiles by climbing above the ship before plunging down through the top of the deck. This helps to avoid Phalanx’s attempt to shoot it down.
BTW, guess who else has Russian Sunburns? The answer: Iran.
What would happen if you threw in submarine-launched ASCMs and torpedoes? There are suggestions China is also working on a DF-21D for submarines, based loosely on the JL submarine launched ballistic missiles.
Perhaps the artwork above is silly and far-fetched, but why are the Chinese planning for such a scenario, if so unrealistic?

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